Following his withdrawal following the first primary at Lowa, the only candidates remaining in the race were Trump and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley. However, Trump’s resounding victory in the pivotal New Hampshire primary virtually guarantees that the incumbent President Joe Biden and the former President will square off in November’s election. 

    Haley, the Trump administration’s ambassador to the UN, was 11 percentage points behind her former boss when the votes in Tuesday’s primary were counted, winning 43% to his 54%. This defied the expectations and hopes of certain segments of the Republican party as well as influential donors that she was the best bet to beat Trump in the race for the party’s nomination and take on Biden. 

    Source: Financial Times

    Given that Republicans in New Hampshire lean more centrist than Trump voters, Haley’s chances of winning the state were greatly enhanced by the primary there. It was the only state where her and Trump’s differences in opinion polls were close enough to wager on her winning. However, Trump demonstrated that Republicans, especially in this east coast state, still have a strong position on the immigration, economic, and anti-abortion themes that he championed during his first campaign.

    It’s evident that Haley’s assessment of Trump—”We can’t have a country in disarray in a world on fire, and be dealing with four years of chaos”—did not resonate with enough people. Nor did her own impeccable track record in politics and government apply. It seems that the core Republican support has begun to coalesce behind Trump following Iowa.

    Source: Associated Press

    A senator from South Carolina gave him an extremely helpful and strategically timed support for his campaign in New Hampshire. With the possible exception of Haley herself, most believe that her candidacy for the Republican ticket is virtually done. To the dismay of Trump and her followers, Haley—who was raised by Sikh immigrants in India—has declared she won’t withdraw from the campaign and has elevated her prospects of defeating him in the South Carolina primary in February. 

    The world can only observe this struggle while it takes place. Undoubtedly, Trump continues to be confronted with numerous legal actions and about a hundred felony counts for his attempts to rig the election and stir up unrest on Capitol Hill on January 6, 2021.Any of these convictions might still change the outcome of the match.

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