In the 2019 assembly elections in Maharashtra and Jharkhand, exit polls were closely watched for indications of the results. In Maharashtra, most exit polls predicted a tight contest between the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Shiv Sena alliance and the opposition Congress-Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) alliance. While the exit polls did suggest a close race, they were somewhat off in estimating the exact margin of victory. The BJP-Shiv Sena alliance secured a decisive win, surpassing the projected number of seats in some exit polls.
Source:- bbc news
In Jharkhand, exit polls similarly predicted a tough battle between the ruling BJP and the opposition alliance led by the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM). While the exit polls indicated a potential win for the JMM-led alliance, the exact seat distribution was not entirely accurate. The JMM and its allies, including the Congress, performed even better than some exit polls had forecasted, clinching a majority and displacing the BJP from power.
Source:- news 18
Overall, while exit polls in both states captured the general trend of a shift in power in Jharkhand and a strong performance by the BJP-Shiv Sena alliance in Maharashtra, they were less precise in the final seat tallies. This raised questions about the reliability of exit polls in these regions, especially when considering the unexpected results in certain constituencies. Despite some discrepancies, exit polls did provide a broad indication of the eventual outcomes, confirming the growing influence of regional parties and alliances in both states.
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