El Nino is the term used to describe the warming of the central Pacific Ocean’s waters, which normally has a negative effect on the monsoon season in the majority of India between July and August. This year’s El Nino is expected to be rather severe, according to several weather forecasting organisations.
Source: Good News Today
IMD anticipates that the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), a different phenomena, would dampen the El Nino influence. Increased rainfall is a result of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), which is a fluctuation of surface temperatures between the eastern and western sections of the Indian Ocean. IMD predicts that these events will cancel one another out, bringing India’s rainfall levels back to normal.
While others contend that El Nino exerts more power than IOD, there aren’t many times when the two intersect. So, during the next few months, IMD’s hypothesis will be put to the test. However, the meteorological service has given a wide range for the country’s agricultural zones, from 92% to 104%.
As the regional and temporal distribution of rainfall, which is more important than the overall quantity, is unknown, such a prediction could not be very helpful. Farmers only benefit from rainfall if it comes at the right time. Unexpected downpour might be harmful.
IMD provides increasingly precise projections that are region-specific as the monsoon develops. Although the predictions are helpful, they occasionally come too late.
Source: OTV News English
Although IMD predicts a generally typical monsoon, it predicts below-average precipitation in June. Additionally, most locations are expected to see above-average temperatures in June. a few regions in the northern peninsula, west-central India, and the northwest.
Rainfall in India and the foothills of the Himalayas might be below average. However, ‘average’ to ‘above-normal’ rainfall is predicted for India’s south peninsula, east central region, northeast, and northern regions. Even though these monsoon scenarios might alter over the next months, governments should be ready to handle any eventualities. When further projections are generated with more precision, they will be better able to react. Farmers need to be informed in-depth about the unique monsoon circumstances in their area.
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