The IMD has predicted that, numerically, rainfall during the southwest monsoon will be 96% of the long period average (LPA) of 87 cm as long as the other elements in play are favorable, allaying worries about El Nino.
Source: Inventiva
El Nino, in which ocean temperatures rise and precipitation decreases, is predicted to be negated by the neutral state over the equatorial Pacific Ocean, the positive Indian Ocean Dipole, and decreasing snow cover over the Himalayas and Eurasia.
The prior knowledge of the rain’s geographic distribution and whether it will be even or skewed is more important for the growers. Every two weeks or so, the IMD must update its equipment and forecast the weather since it serves as the foundation for organising the sowing and harvest of the staple crops. It has limited time to make changes to the kharif crop planting that starts in June after its second projection, which was revealed at the end of May.
The last two seasons have been particularly difficult for farmers in Punjab, Haryana, and HP. Although the actual rainfall ended up being on the higher end of the typical spectrum, which ranges from 96% to 105% of the LPA, the rabi crop was damaged in 2022u201323 due to the irregular pattern of precipitation caused by climate change. This winter’s extremely dry winter was followed by unusually mild temperatures in February. The uncharacteristic downpour in March dealt the crop’s production and quality its final severe blow.
Source: NDTV
The Center was forced to reduce the grain quality standards for purchase in Punjab, Haryana, and Rajasthan as a result of the unseasonal heat waves and rainfall that have hampered wheat output.
The changing weather pattern poses a challenge; experts must brainstorm and offer policy measures to ensure full granaries and happy farmers.
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